Who needs theories? I got data!
Wired has a new series out dedicated to the implications of massive sets of data, toiling microprocessors, and advanced mathematics. The upshot is that–with the amount of petabytes out there and with the ability to make increasingly accurate predictions based on that information–we will no longer need to rely on the messy, rule-of-thumb kinds of theories that mere carbon-based lifeforms might cobble together. So says Chris Anderson:
This is a world where massive amounts of data and applied mathematics replace every other tool that might be brought to bear. Out with every theory of human behavior, from linguistics to sociology. Forget taxonomy, ontology, and psychology. Who knows why people do what they do? The point is they do it, and we can track and measure it with unprecedented fidelity. With enough data, the numbers speak for themselves.
This is tremendously exciting. Gimme a problem any problem. Unsure about which public policies would be the most effective in combating poverty while still maintaining a roaring economy? Just enter the entire historical database into you battery of Crays, push th red button, listen for the gently rocking motion and out spits the answer.
Or not.
Wired has a number of short articles that is meant to extend their thesis–a strategy which is a Wired hallmark and one of the aspects of the magazine that makes it better than just a mix between Engadget and People for Geeks. Still, the individual articles start to show how limited the approach is so far. One article mentions how EU uses a database to monitor news events and sends out “geotagged ‘clusters’ for given events.” Hmmm. That’s not so sexy. Though one experimenter says,
“We have lots of data, and lots of things we can try to model predictively,” says Horvitz. “People think in terms of trends, but I want to build a data set where I can mark something as a surprise — a surprising conflict or surprising turn in the economy.”
So maybe if we took the data we might be able to predict something or mark it a “surprise?”
Hey where’s my superpredicting, all-powerful, Star Trek computer? It’s not a whole lot of fun if the best the ComputerOverlords can do is to send you Google Alerts. Still, it’s not over yet.
In an article entitled, “Chill out, your computer knows what’s best for you.” at Physorg.com, the anonymous authors (aka the writers of the press release they published) suggest that computers are just this close to taking over. Even Bob Costas better watch out:
Many potential applications for CHIL technologies have also been identified and suggested in the catalogue. One of these is to use SmarTrack, a real-time system that provides accurate information about the spatial location of people in sports analysis.
During TV coverage of a sporting event, real-time tracking of each player would allow for online analysis of the important phases of the game to support the commentators.
Why stop there? Why not have the computers tell the quarterback where to throw and the linebackers which gap to shoot. All of your free will are belong to us!
Wall-E, we’re coming for you.
Image Credit: Flickr Logical Chaos tigerplish
